I don't know that it would do it while someone was watching, but maybe, if I really tried to strain it while backing up in the right situation. It don't do it all that often. When I hear the track pop I can look real quick and actually see the tension recover in the top of the track. Imagine this, if the spring got under a load and compressed enough for the track to slip, after the slip and the loud pop, the spring would return to its full length. From the seat looking down at the track you would see the track quickly stretch back out as it recovered.
I have considered a final drive slip, if that were the case, in my reasoning, there would be no visible recovery of the track tension from the operator seat that I can think of. Your idea of the track bunching behind the idler or sprocket makes sense to me.
My front idlers look good to me. One of my front single lower rollers has a chip broke out of an outer flange but I can't see that causing a problem. I'll post some idler and roller pictures when I get the chance.
Yes, that might make a good days road trip for you or you and the Mrs. and I just might spring for a steak dinner pop or no pop. I am always glad to meet another person whose blood runs thick a upon the sound of a Caterpillar engine firing up.